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Genemuiden vs DVS '33 Ermelo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between Genemuiden and DVS '33 Ermelo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genemuiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Genemuiden
15%
Draws
8%
DVS '33 Ermelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genemuiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Genemuiden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Genemuiden taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Genemuiden Clean Sheet 13%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genemuiden DVS '33 Ermelo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.11 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs DVS '33 Ermelo
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs DVS '33 Ermelo
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Genemuiden
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs DVS '33 Ermelo
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Genemuiden
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genemuiden 57 / 100
DVS '33 Ermelo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genemuiden DVS '33 Ermelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genemuiden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genemuiden found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

DVS '33 Ermelo has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Genemuiden has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Genemuiden VS DVS '33 Ermelo
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Genemuiden

(Home)
17 Oct
Excelsior 31
5 : 0
Genemuiden
10 Oct
Genemuiden
3 : 1
VV DOVO
03 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
5 : 3
Genemuiden
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
Genemuiden
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DVS '33 Ermelo

(Away)
17 Oct
Staphorst
2 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
10 Oct
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2
Eemdijk
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Sept
GVVV
4 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)