Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genemuiden vs DVS '33 Ermelo

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between Genemuiden and DVS '33 Ermelo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genemuiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Genemuiden
20%
Draws
10%
DVS '33 Ermelo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Genemuiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

10% / Low Confidence
  • Genemuiden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Genemuiden Clean Sheet 15%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genemuiden DVS '33 Ermelo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs DVS '33 Ermelo
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs DVS '33 Ermelo
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Genemuiden
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs DVS '33 Ermelo
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Genemuiden
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genemuiden 31 / 100
DVS '33 Ermelo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genemuiden DVS '33 Ermelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DVS '33 Ermelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genemuiden found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

DVS '33 Ermelo has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Genemuiden has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Genemuiden VS DVS '33 Ermelo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Genemuiden

(Home)
22 Aug
USV Hercules
0 : 4
Genemuiden
15 Aug
Genemuiden
2 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
08 Aug
Genemuiden
1 : 1
Hardenberg
23 May
VV Hoogeveen
2 : 1
Genemuiden
16 May
Genemuiden
2 : 6
VV DOVO
Page 1 of 6

DVS '33 Ermelo

(Away)
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1
Harkemase Boys
15 Aug
Genemuiden
2 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
08 Aug
GVVV
3 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
30 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2
Rijnvogels
27 May
Rijnvogels
1 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Genemuiden 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
3 ACV Assen 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Harkemase Boys 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
5 Purmersteijn 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 TEC 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 VV Hoogeveen 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
8 ADO 20 Heemskerk 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
9 Eemdijk 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
10 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Sportlust 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
12 VV DOVO 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
13 SVZW Wierden 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
14 Sparta Nijkerk 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
15 Staphorst 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
16 DVS '33 Ermelo 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
17 HVV Hollandia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
18 USV Hercules 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Dongen 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Lisse 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Excelsior Maassluis 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 RKSV UDI 19 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
6 GOES 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
7 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 SV Poortugaal 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
9 VVSB 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
10 Gemert 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
11 UNA 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
12 Rijnvogels 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
13 TOGB 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
14 Blauw Geel 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
15 VV Zwaluwen 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
16 EVV 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
17 Groene Ster 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
18 Achilles Veen 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)