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Genesis FC vs Marathon

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova, La Paz
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ramos O.
58'
Sub
Miranda J. In: Felix B.
Out: Miranda J.
60'
Paz J.

AI Match Summary

Marathon in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marathon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Genesis FC
35%
Draws
28%
Marathon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Genesis FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / High Confidence
  • Marathon have won more games recently than Genesis FC.
  • Model gives Genesis FC a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Genesis FC Clean Sheet 20%
Marathon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genesis FC Marathon
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Marathon
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marathon vs Genesis FC
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs Marathon
0:3
Aug 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marathon vs Genesis FC
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marathon vs Genesis FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genesis FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Marathon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genesis FC 49 / 100
Marathon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genesis FC Marathon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genesis FC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Genesis FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Marathon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Genesis FC VS Marathon
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Genesis FC

(Home)
01 Aug
Genesis FC
2 : 0
CD Choloma
19 May
Motagua
2 : 1
Genesis FC
15 May
Genesis FC
1 : 1
Olancho
07 May
Olancho
1 : 3
Genesis FC
04 May
Genesis FC
1 : 1
Motagua
Page 1 of 6

Marathon

(Away)
04 Aug
Marathon
1 : 0
Atletico Independiente
31 Jul
Herediano
0 : 0
Marathon
24 May
Motagua
1 : 0
Marathon
22 May
Marathon
1 : 1
Motagua
19 May
Real Espana
1 : 1
Marathon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 20 11 7 2 37:25 40
2 Motagua 20 11 6 3 36:17 39
3 Olimpia 20 11 5 4 35:17 38
4 Olancho 20 8 8 4 28:16 32
5 Marathon 20 7 6 7 23:19 27
6 Genesis FC 20 6 5 9 20:28 23
7 CD Choloma 20 6 5 9 23:32 23
8 Platense 20 5 6 9 26:29 21
9 Lobos UPNFM 20 5 6 9 23:30 21
10 Juticalpa 20 4 6 10 18:41 18
11 Victoria 20 4 4 12 25:40 16
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)