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Genk vs Charleroi

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Cegeka Arena, Genk
Genk Logo

Genk

1 - 1
FT
Charleroi Logo

Charleroi

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Camara E.
Assist: Colassin A.
23' Event
Heymans D.
Penalty Missed
36'
Keita C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Genk and Charleroi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Genk
15%
Draws
45%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Genk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk Charleroi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Genk
2:0
Apr 21, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Charleroi
1:1
Dec 19, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Genk
2:2
Sep 17, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Charleroi
0:1
Feb 28, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Genk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk 30 / 100
Charleroi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genk found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Charleroi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Genk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Genk VS Charleroi
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk

(Home)
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
09 Aug
Waregem
2 : 1
Genk
02 Aug
Genk
2 : 1
Twente
01 Aug
Genk
3 : 1
TOP Oss
29 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Genk
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Charleroi

(Away)
16 Aug
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Charleroi
09 Aug
Charleroi
3 : 1
Leuven
01 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 3
Rayo Vallecano
25 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)