Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genk vs St. Liege

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Cegeka Arena, Genk
Genk Logo

Genk

1 - 1
FT
St. Liege Logo

St. Liege

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Mohr T.
46'
Sub
Fossey M. In: Assengue S.
Out: Fossey M.
64'
Medina Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Genk and St. Liege finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Genk
15%
Draws
26%
St. Liege
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Genk come out ahead of St. Liege on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Genk's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Genk Clean Sheet 14%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genk St. Liege
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Genk
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs St. Liege
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs St. Liege
0:3
Aug 10, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Genk
2:1
Feb 14, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Genk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Bibout A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

St. Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Nielsen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genk 39 / 100
St. Liege 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genk St. Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genk found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

St. Liege has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Genk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Genk VS St. Liege
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Genk

(Home)
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
09 Aug
Waregem
2 : 1
Genk
02 Aug
Genk
2 : 1
Twente
01 Aug
Genk
3 : 1
TOP Oss
29 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Genk
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St. Liege

(Away)
08 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge
01 Aug
St. Liege
0 : 3
FC Viktoria Koln
26 Jul
St. Liege
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
St. Liege
0 : 1
Juventus
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0
St. Liege
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)