Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genoa U19 vs Lecce U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Pascalau R.
45'
Sarpa A.
45'
Winkelmann T.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2023/2024 game between Genoa U19 and Lecce U19 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genoa U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Genoa U19
30%
Draws
35%
Lecce U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lecce U19 haven't matched Genoa U19's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lecce U19's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Genoa U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Lecce U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa U19 Lecce U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Primavera 1
Genoa U19 vs Lecce U19
1:0
Jan 13, 2024 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs Genoa U19
3:2
Feb 27, 2022 Primavera 1
Genoa U19 vs Lecce U19
0:1
Sep 26, 2021 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs Genoa U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Papadopoulos C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lecce U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa U19 23 / 100
Lecce U19 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa U19 Lecce U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecce U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lecce U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Genoa U19 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Genoa U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genoa U19 VS Lecce U19
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa U19

(Home)
19 May
Genoa U19
2 : 4
Sassuolo U19
11 May
Cagliari U19
2 : 1
Genoa U19
05 May
Genoa U19
3 : 1
Juventus U19
27 Apr
Verona U19
1 : 3
Genoa U19
20 Apr
Genoa U19
3 : 2
Fiorentina U19
Page 1 of 6

Lecce U19

(Away)
17 May
Monza U19
1 : 5
Lecce U19
12 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AS Roma U19
06 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AC Milan U19
28 Apr
Cagliari U19
1 : 1
Lecce U19
22 Apr
Lecce U19
3 : 0
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)