Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Saporiti E.
15'
15'
Frendrup M.
Assist: Colombo L.
46'
46'
Sub
Junior Messias In: Venturino L.
Out: Junior Messias
AI Match Summary
Genoa in this Coppa Italia 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Empoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Genoa lately — more wins on the board than Empoli.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Genoa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Genoa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Genoa Clean Sheet 13%
Empoli Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Genoa | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2025 Coppa Italia
Genoa vs Empoli
3:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie A
Genoa vs Empoli
1:1
Dec 28, 2024 Serie A
Empoli vs Genoa
1:2
Feb 3, 2024 Serie A
Empoli vs Genoa
0:0
Dec 2, 2023 Serie A
Genoa vs Empoli
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Genoa Compare
Top Goalscorer Frendrup M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marcandalli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Empoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Saporiti E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Genoa 35 / 100
Empoli 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Genoa Empoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Empoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Empoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Away concern: Empoli has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Genoa found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Genoa VS Empoli
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Genoa
(Home) 15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0 Sudtirol
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1 Frosinone
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4 Como
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0 Genoa
22 Aug
Genoa
0 : 2 Napoli
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0 Sudtirol
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1 Frosinone
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4 Como
22 Aug
Genoa
0 : 2 Napoli
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1 Ascoli
Page 1 of 4
Empoli
(Away) 11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1 Arezzo
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1 Empoli
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1 Empoli
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0 Cremonese
17 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1 Empoli
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1 Empoli
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1 Empoli
17 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1 Empoli
08 Aug
Livorno
1 : 1 Empoli
08 May
Monza
2 : 2 Empoli
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2
