Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genoa vs Vicenza

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Carboni V.
Assist: Martin A.
45' Event
Benassai F.
Own Goal
54' Event
Stanciu N.

AI Match Summary

Genoa in this Coppa Italia 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Genoa
30%
Draws
39%
Vicenza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vicenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vicenza lately — more wins on the board than Genoa.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Vicenza arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Genoa, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Genoa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Genoa Clean Sheet 10%
Vicenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa Vicenza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Genoa vs Vicenza
2:2
Aug 15, 2025 Coppa Italia
Genoa vs Vicenza
3:0
Nov 24, 2010 Coppa Italia
Genoa vs Vicenza
3:1
Apr 17, 2007 Serie B
Genoa vs Vicenza
2:0
Sep 9, 2006 Serie B
Vicenza vs Genoa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Carboni V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stanciu N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vicenza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa 30 / 100
Vicenza 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa Vicenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Vicenza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Genoa scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Genoa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Genoa VS Vicenza
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa

(Home)
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1
Frosinone
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
22 Aug
Genoa
0 : 2
Napoli
Page 1 of 6

Vicenza

(Away)
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
08 Aug
Vicenza
1 : 2
Catania
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2