Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Genoa W vs Napoli W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio La Sciorba, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Cinotti N.
(Penalty)
30'
Muth N.
40'
Carcassi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Genoa W and Napoli W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Napoli W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Genoa W
35%
Draws
49%
Napoli W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Napoli W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Napoli W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Napoli W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Genoa W Clean Sheet 13%
Napoli W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa W Napoli W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Genoa W
4:1
Nov 22, 2025 Serie A Women
Genoa W vs Napoli W
1:3
Apr 23, 2023 Serie B Women
Genoa W vs Napoli W
2:5
Dec 4, 2022 Serie B Women
Napoli W vs Genoa W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Napoli W Compare

Top Goalscorer Floe C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barker H. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa W 31 / 100
Napoli W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa W Napoli W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napoli W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Genoa W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Napoli W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Genoa W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Genoa W VS Napoli W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa W

(Home)
16 May
AS Roma W
2 : 0
Genoa W
09 May
Genoa W
2 : 3
Fiorentina W
02 May
Sassuolo W
0 : 0
Genoa W
25 Apr
Genoa W
1 : 2
Inter W
04 Apr
Napoli W
4 : 1
Genoa W
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Napoli W

(Away)
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
17 May
Napoli W
1 : 1
Sassuolo W
09 May
Como W
0 : 0
Napoli W
02 May
Napoli W
2 : 3
Juventus W
25 Apr
AC Milan W
0 : 0
Napoli W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)