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Genoa W vs Sassuolo W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio La Sciorba, Genoa
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Clelland L.
Assist: Dhont E.
37'
Cinotti N.
46'
Sub
Lipman E. In: Sondengaard A.
Out: Lipman E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Genoa W and Sassuolo W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sassuolo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Genoa W
15%
Draws
34%
Sassuolo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genoa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sassuolo W come out ahead of Genoa W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Genoa W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Genoa W Clean Sheet 16%
Sassuolo W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genoa W Sassuolo W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs Genoa W
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie A Women
Genoa W vs Sassuolo W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Genoa W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sassuolo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Clelland L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genoa W 48 / 100
Sassuolo W 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genoa W Sassuolo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genoa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genoa W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Sassuolo W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Genoa W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Sassuolo W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Genoa W VS Sassuolo W
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Genoa W

(Home)
27 Sept
Genoa W
1 : 0
Vicenza W
20 Sept
Vicenza W
1 : 2
Genoa W
12 Sept
Genoa W
2 : 1
Brescia W
05 Sept
Bologna W
4 : 0
Genoa W
16 May
AS Roma W
2 : 0
Genoa W
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Sassuolo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Fiorentina W
2 : 0
Sassuolo W
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
20 Sept
Moncalieri W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7
AS Roma W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)