Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Genova and Constancia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Constancia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Constancia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Constancia come out ahead of Genova on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Constancia's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Genova Clean Sheet 17%
Constancia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Genova | Constancia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Genova vs Constancia
0:1
Dec 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Genova
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Genova 15 / 100
Constancia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Genova Constancia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Genova scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Genova remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Constancia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Constancia
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Genova
(Home) 20 Jun
Alcudia
2 : 0 Genova
12 Jun
Genova
2 : 1 Santa Catalina Atletico
05 Jun
Binissalem
2 : 2 Genova
29 May
Genova
1 : 1 Esporles
23 May
Llosetense
3 : 1 Genova
Page 1 of 6
12 Jun
Genova
2 : 1 Santa Catalina Atletico
29 May
Genova
1 : 1 Esporles
15 May
Genova
3 : 3 Alcudia
01 May
Genova
0 : 1 Binissalem
17 Apr
Genova
3 : 1 Llosetense
Page 1 of 3
Constancia
(Away) 13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0 Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1 Constancia
15 Apr
Mercadal
1 : 4 Constancia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD Ibiza | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 38:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Andratx | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 35:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Constancia | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 24:14 | 35 |
| 4 | Manacor | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:20 | 34 |
| 5 | Portmany | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 29:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Collerense | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 29 |
| 7 | Soller | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21:36 | 23 |
| 8 | Cardassar | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:28 | 22 |
| 9 | Felanitx | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29:32 | 19 |
| 10 | Ferriolense | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14:32 | 13 |
| 11 | Genova | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19:41 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges de Calvia | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 31:13 | 45 |
| 2 | PE Sant Jordi | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 33:17 | 41 |
| 3 | Formentera | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 36:20 | 39 |
| 4 | Mallorca B | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 34:10 | 38 |
| 5 | Santanyi | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23:12 | 35 |
| 6 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 25:24 | 22 |
| 7 | Llosetense | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 17:28 | 22 |
| 8 | Alcudia | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17:32 | 21 |
| 9 | Santa Catalina Atletico | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12:30 | 17 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 17:24 | 15 |
| 11 | Esporles | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15:50 | 7 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
