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Genova vs Esporles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Genova
30%
Draws
12%
Esporles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Genova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Genova have won more games recently than Esporles.
  • Genova are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Genova Clean Sheet 18%
Esporles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genova Esporles
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 1
Draws 9 6
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 1.07 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Genova vs Esporles
1:1
Apr 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Genova
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genova 85 / 100
Esporles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genova Esporles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Esporles conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Genova scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Genova remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Genova VS Esporles
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Genova

(Home)
20 Jun
Alcudia
2 : 0
Genova
12 Jun
Genova
2 : 1
Santa Catalina Atletico
05 Jun
Binissalem
2 : 2
Genova
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Llosetense
3 : 1
Genova
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Esporles

(Away)
20 Jun
Esporles
0 : 2
Cardassar
12 Jun
Felanitx
3 : 0
Esporles
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4
Ferriolense
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Esporles
1 : 3
Soller
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