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Genova vs Llosetense

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Genova in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Genova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Genova
35%
Draws
32%
Llosetense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Llosetense lately — more wins on the board than Genova.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Genova Clean Sheet 10%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genova Llosetense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Genova
3:1
Apr 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Genova vs Llosetense
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genova 34 / 100
Llosetense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genova Llosetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llosetense has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Genova's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Genova went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Llosetense
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Genova

(Home)
20 Jun
Alcudia
2 : 0
Genova
12 Jun
Genova
2 : 1
Santa Catalina Atletico
05 Jun
Binissalem
2 : 2
Genova
29 May
Genova
1 : 1
Esporles
23 May
Llosetense
3 : 1
Genova
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Llosetense

(Away)
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
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