Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Sub
Anderson M. In: Emmery F.
Out: Anderson M.
46'
46'
Sub
Gretarsson D. L. In: Molgaard T.
Out: Gretarsson D. L.
46'
46'
Sub
Van Der Heyden S. In: Diallo M.
Out: Van Der Heyden S.
AI Match Summary
The Conference League game between Gent and Aarhus finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gent.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gent
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gent come out ahead of Aarhus on wins alone.
- Model gives Gent a 42% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gent Clean Sheet 17%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gent | Aarhus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2026 Conference League
Gent vs Aarhus
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gent Compare
Top Goalscorer Goore H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Aarhus Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gent 41 / 100
Aarhus 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gent Aarhus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aarhus has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Gent scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Gent has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Gent VS Aarhus
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Gent
(Home) 18 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
4 : 3 Gent
15 Oct
Gent
1 : 0 Aarhus
10 Oct
Waregem
0 : 2 Gent
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1 St. Liege
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1 Gent
Page 1 of 6
15 Oct
Gent
1 : 0 Aarhus
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1 St. Liege
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0 Leuven
30 Aug
Gent
2 : 1 Club Brugge
20 Aug
Gent
0 : 0 Hibernian
Page 1 of 3
Aarhus
(Away) 18 Oct
FC Copenhagen
1 : 1 Aarhus
15 Oct
Gent
1 : 0 Aarhus
12 Oct
Aarhus
3 : 0 Sonderjyske
02 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1 Vendsyssel FF
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2 Aarhus
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
FC Copenhagen
1 : 1 Aarhus
15 Oct
Gent
1 : 0 Aarhus
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2 Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6 Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0 Aarhus
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Mjallby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 | St. Truiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 8 | Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Brann | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 14 | Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 16 | Midtjylland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 17 | Nordsjaelland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 18 | Kairat Almaty | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | Hearts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 20 | KF Egnatia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21 | Univ. Craiova | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 22 | Riga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 23 | Jablonec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 24 | Crvena zvezda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 25 | Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26 | Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 28 | CSKA Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 29 | Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 30 | Thun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 31 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 32 | Pafos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 33 | Inter Escaldes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 34 | Iberia 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 35 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 36 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
