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Gent vs Anderlecht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Planet Group Arena, Gent
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gent host Anderlecht in the Jupiler Pro League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Anderlecht have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Gent have conceded 0.85 and scored 1.42. Head-to-head, Gent have won 1 to Anderlecht's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.88) point toward Gent. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gent
15%
Draws
35%
Anderlecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Anderlecht carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gent Clean Sheet 20%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gent Anderlecht
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 16 17
Draws 12 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.42 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Anderlecht
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Gent
3:1
Jan 18, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Anderlecht
4:2
Jan 15, 2026 Belgian Cup
Anderlecht vs Gent
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Gent
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gent 32 / 100
Anderlecht 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gent Anderlecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Gent stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Gent scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Anderlecht let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gent VS Anderlecht
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gent

(Home)
15 Oct
Gent
1 : 0
Aarhus
10 Oct
Waregem
0 : 2
Gent
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1
St. Liege
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3
Gent
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Anderlecht

(Away)
15 Oct
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
Anderlecht
10 Oct
Cercle Brugge
1 : 2
Anderlecht
02 Oct
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Reims
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Waregem
16 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 2
Lyon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gent 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Club Brugge 8 7 0 1 19:4 21
3 Charleroi 8 7 0 1 16:7 21
4 Royale Union SG 8 6 2 0 22:4 20
5 Anderlecht 8 5 1 2 9:6 16
6 Westerlo 8 4 1 3 20:17 13
7 Genk 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
8 Waregem 8 3 2 3 10:9 11
9 St. Liege 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Lommel SK 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
11 SK Beveren 8 3 0 5 8:14 9
12 St. Truiden 8 2 2 4 15:16 8
13 Antwerp 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
14 KV Mechelen 8 1 3 4 9:17 6
15 Leuven 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
16 RAAL La Louviere 8 1 1 6 8:18 4
17 Kortrijk 8 1 0 7 2:18 3
18 Cercle Brugge 8 0 3 5 9:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
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Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)