Sport Picks

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Gent vs Genk

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Planet Group Arena, Gent
Sun, May 31, 2026
2 - 1
04:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Kongolo J.
64'
Sub
Bibout A. In: Mirisola R.
Out: Bibout A.
64'
Sub
Steuckers J. In: Sor Y.
Out: Steuckers J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Gent advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Gent
35%
Draws
27%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Gent carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Gent have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Genk, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gent Clean Sheet 16%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gent Genk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 12 9
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Gent
1:1
May 31, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Genk
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Gent
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Genk
1:1
May 18, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Gent vs Genk
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gent Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirisola R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gent 30 / 100
Genk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gent Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gent Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Gent stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Gent scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Genk conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gent VS Genk
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gent

(Home)
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3
Gent
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
30 Aug
Gent
2 : 1
Club Brugge
27 Aug
Hibernian
2 : 3
Gent
Page 1 of 6

Genk

(Away)
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Gent 2
Genk 1