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Geoje vs Geumsan Insam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Geoje Logo

Geoje

Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Geumsan Insam Logo

Geumsan Insam

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Geoje host Geumsan Insam in the K4 League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Geoje have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Geumsan Insam's 1.52 scored and 1.22 conceded. Head-to-head, Geoje have won 0 to Geumsan Insam's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.44) point toward Geumsan Insam. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Geoje
30%
Draws
27%
Geumsan Insam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Geoje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Geoje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Geoje taking it.
  • Regular K4 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Geoje Clean Sheet 16%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geoje Geumsan Insam
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.77 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 K4 League
Geumsan Insam vs Geoje
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geoje 66 / 100
Geumsan Insam 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geoje Geumsan Insam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Geoje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geoje's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Geoje remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Geumsan Insam conceded in 74% of 23 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Geoje VS Geumsan Insam
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Geoje

(Home)
17 Oct
Geoje
1 : 0
Haman
11 Oct
Geoje
3 : 0
Pyeongtaek Citizen
03 Oct
Jinju Citizen
0 : 0
Geoje
19 Sept
Jecheon Citizen
0 : 2
Geoje
12 Sept
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 1
Geoje
Page 1 of 6

Geumsan Insam

(Away)
10 Oct
Geumsan Insam
2 : 0
Namyangju
13 Sept
Gijang United
3 : 1
Geumsan Insam
05 Sept
Geumsan Insam
0 : 0
Pyeongtaek Citizen
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
23 Aug
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 3
Geumsan Insam
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 22 16 3 3 51:18 51
2 Jincheon 22 12 6 4 43:21 42
3 Namyangju 23 11 6 6 32:29 39
4 Seoul Jungnang 22 11 4 7 40:27 37
5 Geumsan Insam 22 9 8 5 35:25 35
6 Geoje 21 10 4 7 37:26 34
7 Jecheon Citizen 22 8 7 7 29:32 31
8 Pyeongchang United 22 9 3 10 30:33 30
9 Sejong SA 22 9 2 11 35:49 29
10 Gijang United 22 8 2 12 31:43 26
11 Haman 22 6 2 14 23:38 20
12 Pyeongtaek Citizen 22 3 5 14 27:48 14
13 Seosan Pioneer 22 4 2 16 24:48 14
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