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Geoje vs Gijang United

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Geoje play Gijang United in the K4 League. Geoje are favorites here. Recently, Geoje averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Gijang United averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. In past meetings, Geoje won 1, Gijang United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Geoje and 1.31 for Gijang United. This points to a Geoje double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Geoje
15%
Draws
29%
Gijang United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Geoje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Geoje picked up more points recently compared to Gijang United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Geoje Clean Sheet 18%
Gijang United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geoje Gijang United
Matches Played 25 19
Wins 12 6
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.92 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 K4 League
Geoje vs Gijang United
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geoje 54 / 100
Gijang United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geoje Gijang United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Geoje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Geoje & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Geoje attacking → ← attacking Gijang United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geoje scored in 80% of their last 25 games.

Gijang United let in goals in 79% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Geoje went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gijang United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 20
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1694331:1531
3Geumsan Insam1676327:1827
4Seoul Jungnang1674527:1925
5Jecheon Citizen1666417:1924
6Sejong SA1572623:2423
7Geoje1563629:2221
8Namyangju1555518:1920
9Pyeongchang United1662820:2420
10Gijang United1652919:2917
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369