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Geoje vs Jecheon Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The K4 League game between Geoje and Jecheon Citizen finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jecheon Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Geoje
15%
Draws
28%
Jecheon Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Geoje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Geoje come out ahead of Jecheon Citizen on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Geoje taking it.
  • Regular K4 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Geoje Clean Sheet 10%
Jecheon Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geoje Jecheon Citizen
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 K4 League
Geoje vs Jecheon Citizen
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geoje 38 / 100
Jecheon Citizen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geoje Jecheon Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Geoje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Geoje found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Jecheon Citizen let in goals in 75% of their last 20 matches.

Difficult form: Jecheon Citizen registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Geoje VS Jecheon Citizen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Geoje

(Home)
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
25 Jul
Jincheon
4 : 1
Geoje
15 Jul
Busan
4 : 0
Geoje
11 Jul
Pyeongchang United
1 : 3
Geoje
05 Jul
Geoje
4 : 0
Incheon Seogot
Page 1 of 6

Jecheon Citizen

(Away)
05 Sept
Pyeongchang United
2 : 1
Jecheon Citizen
23 Aug
Jecheon Citizen
5 : 4
Sejong SA
25 Jul
Jecheon Citizen
2 : 3
Namyangju
11 Jul
Jecheon Citizen
1 : 2
Geumsan Insam
04 Jul
Gangneung
2 : 0
Jecheon Citizen
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 19 15 2 2 46:16 47
2 Jincheon 19 11 4 4 37:19 37
3 Namyangju 20 10 5 5 28:24 35
4 Geumsan Insam 20 8 8 4 32:22 32
5 Seoul Jungnang 19 9 4 6 35:21 31
6 Jecheon Citizen 19 7 6 6 25:28 27
7 Pyeongchang United 19 8 2 9 25:28 26
8 Sejong SA 19 8 2 9 29:36 26
9 Gijang United 19 7 2 10 25:35 23
10 Geoje 16 6 3 7 30:26 21
11 Haman 19 6 2 11 22:32 20
12 Seosan Pioneer 19 4 0 15 22:45 12
13 Pyeongtaek Citizen 19 2 4 13 18:42 10
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