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Geoje vs Jecheon Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Geoje play Jecheon Citizen in the K4 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Geoje averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Jecheon Citizen averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Geoje won 0, Jecheon Citizen won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Geoje and 1.50 for Jecheon Citizen. This points to a Jecheon Citizen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Geoje
24%
Draws
43%
Jecheon Citizen
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Jecheon Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Geoje picked up more points recently compared to Jecheon Citizen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Geoje Clean Sheet 16%
Jecheon Citizen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geoje Jecheon Citizen
Matches Played 23 15
Wins 10 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.78 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 K4 League
Geoje vs Jecheon Citizen
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geoje 33 / 100
Jecheon Citizen 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geoje Jecheon Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jecheon Citizen or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Geoje attacking → ← attacking Jecheon Citizen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geoje scored in 78% of their last 23 games.

Jecheon Citizen let in goals in 67% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Geoje went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jecheon Citizen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 24
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369