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Geoje vs Pyeongtaek Citizen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Geoje host Pyeongtaek Citizen in the K4 League. This has Geoje written all over it on paper. Geoje have averaged 1.76 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Pyeongtaek Citizen's 1.66 scored and 2.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Geoje slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (2.00 - 1.38) back Geoje to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Geoje
30%
Draws
29%
Pyeongtaek Citizen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Geoje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Pyeongtaek Citizen haven't matched Geoje's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Geoje Clean Sheet 17%
Pyeongtaek Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geoje Pyeongtaek Citizen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.76 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 K4 League
Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Geoje
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geoje 31 / 100
Pyeongtaek Citizen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geoje Pyeongtaek Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pyeongtaek Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pyeongtaek Citizen conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Geoje found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Geoje has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Geoje VS Pyeongtaek Citizen
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Geoje

(Home)
03 Oct
Jinju Citizen
0 : 0
Geoje
19 Sept
Jecheon Citizen
0 : 2
Geoje
12 Sept
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 1
Geoje
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
25 Jul
Jincheon
4 : 1
Geoje
Page 1 of 6

Pyeongtaek Citizen

(Away)
04 Oct
Pyeongtaek Citizen
7 : 1
Sejong SA
13 Sept
Namyangju
2 : 2
Pyeongtaek Citizen
05 Sept
Geumsan Insam
0 : 0
Pyeongtaek Citizen
29 Aug
Pyeongtaek Citizen
2 : 3
Gijang United
26 Jul
Pyeongtaek Citizen
0 : 2
Jinju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 21 16 3 2 50:16 51
2 Jincheon 21 12 5 4 42:20 41
3 Namyangju 22 11 6 5 32:27 39
4 Seoul Jungnang 21 10 4 7 38:27 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 22 8 7 7 29:32 31
7 Geoje 19 8 4 7 33:26 28
8 Pyeongchang United 21 8 3 10 28:32 27
9 Gijang United 21 8 2 11 29:38 26
10 Sejong SA 21 8 2 11 30:47 26
11 Haman 20 6 2 12 23:35 20
12 Pyeongtaek Citizen 21 3 5 13 27:45 14
13 Seosan Pioneer 21 4 1 16 23:47 13
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