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Geoje vs Sejong SA

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Geoje Logo

Geoje

1 - 2
FT
Sejong SA Logo

Sejong SA

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The K4 League game between Geoje and Sejong SA finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sejong SA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Geoje
15%
Draws
28%
Sejong SA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Geoje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Geoje come out ahead of Sejong SA on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Geoje taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Geoje Clean Sheet 10%
Sejong SA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geoje Sejong SA
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 13 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 K4 League
Geoje vs Sejong SA
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 K4 League
Sejong SA vs Geoje
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geoje 38 / 100
Sejong SA 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geoje Sejong SA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Geoje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sejong SA let in goals in 83% of their last 24 matches.

Geoje scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Sejong SA has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Geoje VS Sejong SA
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Geoje

(Home)
12 Sept
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 1
Geoje
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
25 Jul
Jincheon
4 : 1
Geoje
15 Jul
Busan
4 : 0
Geoje
11 Jul
Pyeongchang United
1 : 3
Geoje
Page 1 of 6

Sejong SA

(Away)
12 Sept
Sejong SA
0 : 4
Jinju Citizen
06 Sept
Sejong SA
2 : 1
Seosan Pioneer
30 Aug
Sejong SA
0 : 5
Seoul Jungnang
23 Aug
Jecheon Citizen
5 : 4
Sejong SA
26 Jul
Haman
1 : 0
Sejong SA
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 20 16 2 2 50:16 50
2 Jincheon 20 11 5 4 38:20 38
3 Namyangju 21 10 6 5 30:26 36
4 Seoul Jungnang 20 10 4 6 38:23 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 21 7 7 7 26:31 28
7 Geoje 18 8 3 7 33:26 27
8 Pyeongchang United 20 8 2 10 27:31 26
9 Gijang United 20 8 2 10 28:36 26
10 Sejong SA 20 8 2 10 29:40 26
11 Haman 19 6 2 11 22:32 20
12 Seosan Pioneer 20 4 0 16 22:46 12
13 Pyeongtaek Citizen 20 2 5 13 20:44 11
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