Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Georgia U21 vs Croatia U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Soldo M.
Own Goal
11'
Ugrekhelidze N.
37'
Stojkovic L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Georgia U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Georgia U21
30%
Draws
51%
Croatia U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Croatia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Croatia U21 come out ahead of Georgia U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Croatia U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Croatia U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Georgia U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Georgia U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Croatia U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Georgia U21 Croatia U21
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.45 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Euro U21
Croatia U21 vs Georgia U21
3:3
Nov 15, 2024 Euro U21
Georgia U21 vs Croatia U21
1:0
Sep 6, 2016 Euro U21
Georgia U21 vs Croatia U21
2:2
Sep 3, 2015 Euro U21
Croatia U21 vs Georgia U21
1:0
Aug 15, 2012 Euro U21
Georgia U21 vs Croatia U21
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Georgia U21 10 / 100
Croatia U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Georgia U21 Croatia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Georgia U21 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Croatia U21 let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Georgia U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Georgia U21 VS Croatia U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Georgia U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
05 Jun
USA U20
1 : 0
Georgia U21
31 Mar
Georgia U21
4 : 1
Malta U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
18 Nov
Georgia U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
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Croatia U21

(Away)
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
03 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 0
Qatar U23
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
31 Mar
Croatia U21
3 : 0
Turkey U21
18 Nov
Hungary U21
0 : 2
Croatia U21
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Finland U21 6
Norway U21 3
Belgium U21 1
Czech Republic U21 3
Georgia U21 4
Croatia U21 3