Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Georgia U21 vs Portugal U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Štadión na Sihoti, Trenčín
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Odisharia L.
24' Event
Pinheiro R.
Assist: Quenda G.
45'
Roger

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Georgia U21 and Portugal U21 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugal U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Georgia U21
15%
Draws
64%
Portugal U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portugal U21 come out ahead of Georgia U21 on wins alone.
  • Portugal U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Portugal U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Georgia U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Georgia U21 Portugal U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 20
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.46 3
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2025 Euro U21
Georgia U21 vs Portugal U21
0:4
Jun 21, 2023 Euro U21
Georgia U21 vs Portugal U21
2:0
Sep 24, 2022 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Georgia U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Georgia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinheiro R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quenda G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Georgia U21 10 / 100
Portugal U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Georgia U21 Portugal U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Georgia U21's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Portugal U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Georgia U21 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Georgia U21 VS Portugal U21
1.63 Goals Scored 3.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Georgia U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Georgia U21
0 : 3
Greece U21
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
05 Jun
USA U20
1 : 0
Georgia U21
31 Mar
Georgia U21
4 : 1
Malta U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
Page 1 of 6

Portugal U21

(Away)
30 Sept
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Gibraltar U21
25 Sept
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Portugal U21
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Italy U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Slovakia U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Romania U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 England U21 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Czech Republic U21 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Slovenia U21 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 France U21 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Georgia U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Poland U21 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 Netherlands U21 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ukraine U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Finland U21 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)