Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Georgia vs Czech Republic

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Coufal V.
26'
Sub
Rynes M. In: Zeleny J.
Out: Rynes M.
33' Event
Kvaratskhelia K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Georgia in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Georgia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Georgia
30%
Draws
23%
Czech Republic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Georgia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Czech Republic have won more games recently than Georgia.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Georgia taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Georgia Clean Sheet 68%
Czech Republic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Georgia Czech Republic
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.46 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Czech Republic vs Georgia
2:1
Sep 7, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Georgia vs Czech Republic
4:1
Jun 22, 2024 Euro
Georgia vs Czech Republic
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Georgia Compare

Top Goalscorer Chakvetadze G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikautadze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Czech Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalvach L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Georgia 77 / 100
Czech Republic 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Georgia Czech Republic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Georgia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Georgia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Czech Republic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Georgia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Georgia VS Czech Republic
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Georgia

(Home)
28 Sept
Georgia
0 : 0
Ukraine
25 Sept
Georgia
0 : 1
Northern Ireland
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
02 Jun
Georgia
1 : 1
Romania
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2
Georgia
Page 1 of 6

Czech Republic

(Away)
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2
Croatia
25 Jun
Czech Republic
0 : 3
Mexico
18 Jun
Czech Republic
1 : 1
South Africa
12 Jun
South Korea
2 : 1
Czech Republic
05 Jun
Czech Republic
3 : 1
Guatemala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
2 Ukraine 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Georgia 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Albania 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Greece 6 5 0 1 11:4 15
3 Ireland 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Finland 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Austria 6 3 2 1 14:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Kazakhstan 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wales 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Turkey 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
4 Montenegro 6 1 0 5 4:9 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)