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Germaneya vs Balkan Botevgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-West 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Germaneya
15%
Draws
59%
Balkan Botevgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balkan Botevgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Balkan Botevgrad have won more games recently than Germaneya.
  • Model gives Balkan Botevgrad a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germaneya Balkan Botevgrad
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Balkan Botevgrad
1:4
Aug 9, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Germaneya
1:1
May 11, 2019 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Balkan Botevgrad
1:1
Nov 3, 2018 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Germaneya
0:4
Apr 11, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Balkan Botevgrad
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germaneya 14 / 100
Balkan Botevgrad 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germaneya Balkan Botevgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balkan Botevgrad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germaneya scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Balkan Botevgrad conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Germaneya remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Germaneya VS Balkan Botevgrad
1.17 Goals Scored 1.63
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.5
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Germaneya

(Home)
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2
Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1
Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Germaneya
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Balkan Botevgrad

(Away)
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Levski Sofia II
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebar 34 29 3 2 73:19 90
2 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 23 6 5 60:27 75
3 Vihren 34 18 8 8 52:35 62
4 Bansko 34 16 10 8 56:37 58
5 Slivnishki Geroy 34 16 9 9 60:35 57
6 Minyor Pernik 34 15 11 8 57:37 56
7 Pirin Razlog 34 13 10 11 47:35 49
8 Rilski Sportist 34 12 10 12 47:42 46
9 Belasitsa Petrich 34 11 11 12 43:37 44
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
11 Chavdar Etropole 34 11 8 15 54:47 41
12 Marek 34 11 8 15 35:37 41
13 Balkan Botevgrad 34 10 8 16 41:57 38
14 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 9 11 14 40:61 38
15 Svoge 34 10 7 17 45:61 37
16 Botev Ihtiman 34 10 2 22 35:75 32
17 Germaneya 34 8 6 20 36:70 30
18 Velbazhd Kyustendil 34 2 5 27 22:89 11
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)