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Germania Friedrichstal vs Freiberg Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2018/2019 game between Germania Friedrichstal and Freiberg finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Germania Friedrichstal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Germania Friedrichstal
35%
Draws
45%
Freiberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Freiberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Freiberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Freiberg a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Germania Friedrichstal Clean Sheet 17%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germania Friedrichstal Freiberg
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.13 2.26
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2019 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Germania Friedrichstal vs Freiberg
4:2
Nov 24, 2018 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiberg vs Germania Friedrichstal
6:2
Mar 13, 2016 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Germania Friedrichstal vs Freiberg
2:1
Aug 29, 2015 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiberg vs Germania Friedrichstal
1:1
May 1, 2015 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Germania Friedrichstal vs Freiberg
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germania Friedrichstal 15 / 100
Freiberg 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germania Friedrichstal Freiberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Germania Friedrichstal found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Freiberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Germania Friedrichstal has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Freiberg
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Germania Friedrichstal

(Home)
24 May
Germania Friedrichstal
4 : 2
Freiberg
18 May
Goppinger
4 : 1
Germania Friedrichstal
11 May
Backnang
2 : 1
Germania Friedrichstal
05 May
Germania Friedrichstal
2 : 2
Oberachern
01 May
Linx
3 : 0
Germania Friedrichstal
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Freiberg

(Away)
03 Oct
Freiberg
2 : 2
TSV Steinbach Haiger
26 Sept
Freiberg
2 : 2
Stutt. Kickers
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3
Freiberg
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0
Freiberg
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