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Germania Teveren vs Alemannia Aachen

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

Germania Teveren play Alemannia Aachen in the Club Friendly. Alemannia Aachen are favorites here. Recently, Germania Teveren averaged 1.13 goals scored and 3.19 conceded. Alemannia Aachen averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Germania Teveren won 0, Alemannia Aachen won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Germania Teveren and 4.00 for Alemannia Aachen. This points to a Alemannia Aachen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Germania Teveren
15%
Draws
69%
Alemannia Aachen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alemannia Aachen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Germania Teveren picked up more points recently compared to Alemannia Aachen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 98%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Germania Teveren Clean Sheet 10%
Alemannia Aachen Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 88%
Second Half Goal 93%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germania Teveren Alemannia Aachen
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 1.13 2.3
Goals Conceded 3.19 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Germania Teveren vs Alemannia Aachen
1:6
Jun 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Germania Teveren vs Alemannia Aachen
1:3
Jun 24, 2023 Club Friendly
Germania Teveren vs Alemannia Aachen
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germania Teveren Compare

Top Goalscorer Wickum M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alemannia Aachen Compare

Top Goalscorer Schroers M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Koster L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germania Teveren 16 / 100
Alemannia Aachen 64 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germania Teveren Alemannia Aachen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alemannia Aachen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Alemannia Aachen & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Germania Teveren attacking → ← attacking Alemannia Aachen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germania Teveren scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Alemannia Aachen let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Germania Teveren went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Alemannia Aachen lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 57
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
6.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50