Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Germany U17 vs USA U17

World World

World Cup U17 2023 Si Jalak Harupat Stadium, Bandung
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Herrmann C.
24' Event
Habroune T.
34' Event
Moerstedt M.
Assist: Herrmann C.

AI Match Summary

Germany U17 in this World Cup U17 2023 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Germany U17
20%
Draws
51%
USA U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USA U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USA U17 lately — more wins on the board than Germany U17.
  • Model gives USA U17 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • USA U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Germany U17, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Germany U17 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Germany U17 Clean Sheet 11%
USA U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U17 USA U17
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 15 22
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.19 3.35
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.76 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2023 World Cup U17
Germany U17 vs USA U17
3:2
Jun 30, 2011 World Cup U17
Germany U17 vs USA U17
4:0
Aug 30, 2007 World Cup U17
Germany U17 vs USA U17
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrmann C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moerstedt M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

USA U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Habroune T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vazquez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U17 10 / 100
USA U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U17 USA U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Germany U17's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

USA U17 let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Germany U17 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Germany U17 VS USA U17
2.38 Goals Scored 3
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.14
50% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany U17

(Home)
31 Mar
France U17
2 : 0
Germany U17
28 Mar
Germany U17
1 : 1
Slovenia U17
25 Mar
Germany U17
2 : 1
North Macedonia U17
18 Feb
Portugal U17
1 : 0
Germany U17
15 Feb
Spain U17
3 : 2
Germany U17
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USA U17

(Away)
10 Jun
Brazil U17
1 : 0
USA U17
07 Jun
Brazil U17
4 : 0
USA U17
10 Feb
USA U17
1 : 1
Dominican Republic U17
08 Feb
Saint Kitts and Nevis U17
0 : 10
USA U17
05 Feb
USA U17
8 : 0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Ecuador U17 1
Brazil U17 3
Argentina U17 5
Venezuela U17 0
Spain U17 2
Japan U17 1
Germany U17 3
USA U17 2
France U17 1
Senegal U17 0
England U17 1
Uzbekistan U17 2
Mali U17 5
Mexico U17 0
Morocco U17 2
Iran U17 1
Quarter-finals
Brazil U17 0
Argentina U17 3
Spain U17 0
Germany U17 1
France U17 1
Uzbekistan U17 0
Mali U17 1
Morocco U17 0
Semi-finals
Argentina U17 3
Germany U17 4
France U17 2
Mali U17 1
Final
Germany U17 3
France U17 2
Argentina U17 0
Mali U17 3