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Germany U21 vs Japan U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ngankam J.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Sato K.
46'
Sub
Fischer K. In: Asta S.
Out: Fischer K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Germany U21
6%
Draws
4%
Japan U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Germany U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Germany U21 lately — more wins on the board than Japan U21.
  • Model gives Germany U21 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Germany U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Japan U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany U21 Japan U21
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 24 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2023 Friendly International
Germany U21 vs Japan U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Huseinbasic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Japan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sato K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hosoya M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany U21 85 / 100
Japan U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany U21 Japan U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany U21's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Germany U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Japan U21 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 22 outings.

Scoring Trends

Germany U21 VS Japan U21
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Greece U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
27 Mar
Germany U21
3 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
18 Nov
Georgia U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
14 Nov
Germany U21
6 : 0
Malta U21
14 Oct
Northern Ireland U21
1 : 2
Germany U21
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Japan U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1
Japan U21
29 Mar
South Korea U23
2 : 1
Japan U21
27 Mar
Japan U21
0 : 2
USA U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
3 : 2
Japan U21
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