Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Germany vs Denmark

Europe Europe

Euro 2024 Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Schlotterbeck N.
41'
Hjulmand K.
48'
Andersen J.

AI Match Summary

Germany in this Euro 2024 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Germany
15%
Draws
37%
Denmark
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Germany have won more games recently than Denmark.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Germany taking it.
  • Germany have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Germany, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Germany Clean Sheet 18%
Denmark Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany Denmark
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.55 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2024 Euro
Germany vs Denmark
2:0
Jun 2, 2021 Friendly International
Germany vs Denmark
1:1
Jun 6, 2017 Friendly International
Denmark vs Germany
1:1
Jun 17, 2012 Euro
Denmark vs Germany
1:2
Aug 11, 2010 Friendly International
Denmark vs Germany
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany Compare

Top Goalscorer Musiala J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Denmark Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany 85 / 100
Denmark 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany Denmark

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Germany has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Denmark conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Germany VS Denmark
2.88 Goals Scored 2.14
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany

(Home)
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1
Germany
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
14 Jun
Germany
7 : 1
Curacao
06 Jun
USA
1 : 2
Germany
Page 1 of 6

Denmark

(Away)
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1
Ukraine
03 Jun
D.R. Congo
0 : 0
Denmark
31 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2
Denmark
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0
North Macedonia
18 Nov
Scotland
4 : 2
Denmark
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Spain 4
Georgia 1
Germany 2
Denmark 0
Portugal 1
Slovenia 0
France 1
Belgium 0
Romania 0
Netherlands 3
Austria 1
Turkey 2
England 2
Slovakia 1
Switzerland 2
Italy 0
Quarter-finals
Spain 2
Germany 1
Portugal 0
France 1
Netherlands 2
Turkey 1
England 2
Switzerland 1
Semi-finals
Spain 2
France 1
Netherlands 1
England 2
Final
Spain 2
England 1