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Germany vs Ghana

World World

Friendly International MHPArena, Stuttgart
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Adjetey J.
45' Event
Havertz K.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Gnabry S. In: Undav D.
Out: Gnabry S.

AI Match Summary

Germany in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Germany.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Germany
20%
Draws
29%
Ghana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Germany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Germany have won more games recently than Ghana.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Germany taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Germany have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Germany Clean Sheet 68%
Ghana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany Ghana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.55 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Friendly International
Germany vs Ghana
2:1
Jun 21, 2014 World Championship
Germany vs Ghana
2:2
Jun 23, 2010 World Championship
Ghana vs Germany
0:1
Apr 14, 1993 Friendly International
Germany vs Ghana
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Germany Compare

Top Goalscorer Undav D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Ghana Compare

Top Goalscorer Fatawu I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany 95 / 100
Ghana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany Ghana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germany scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ghana conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Germany remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Germany VS Ghana
3.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany

(Home)
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1
Germany
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
14 Jun
Germany
7 : 1
Curacao
06 Jun
USA
1 : 2
Germany
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Ghana

(Away)
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
27 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Ghana
23 Jun
England
0 : 0
Ghana
17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0
Panama
02 Jun
Wales
1 : 1
Ghana
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