Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Germany vs Ukraine

World World

Friendly International 2024 Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Gundogan I. In: Fuhrich C.
Out: Gundogan I.
46'
Sub
Wirtz F. In: Undav D.
Out: Wirtz F.
60'
Sub
Havertz K. In: Muller T.
Out: Havertz K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Germany
15%
Draws
42%
Ukraine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Germany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Germany have won more games recently than Ukraine.
  • Germany are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Germany Clean Sheet 20%
Ukraine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Germany Ukraine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.47 1.43
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.15 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2024 Friendly International
Germany vs Ukraine
0:0
Jun 12, 2023 Friendly International
Germany vs Ukraine
3:3
Nov 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Germany vs Ukraine
3:1
Oct 10, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Ukraine vs Germany
1:2
Jun 12, 2016 Euro
Germany vs Ukraine
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Germany 85 / 100
Ukraine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Germany Ukraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Germany scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Ukraine has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Germany remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Germany VS Ukraine
2.88 Goals Scored 1.29
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Germany

(Home)
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1
Germany
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
14 Jun
Germany
7 : 1
Curacao
06 Jun
USA
1 : 2
Germany
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Ukraine

(Away)
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1
Ukraine
31 May
Poland
0 : 2
Ukraine
31 Mar
Ukraine
1 : 0
Albania
26 Mar
Ukraine
1 : 3
Sweden
16 Nov
Ukraine
2 : 0
Iceland
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