Sport Picks
Germinal vs Santamarina
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio El Fortin, Rawson 
Match Events
5'
5'
De Hoyos D.
(Penalty)
48'
48'
Perez F.
50'
50'
Yocco L.
AI Match Summary
Germinal in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Germinal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Germinal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Germinal have won more games recently than Santamarina.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Germinal taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Germinal Clean Sheet 68%
Santamarina Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Germinal | Santamarina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Germinal vs Santamarina
5:1
Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Germinal vs Santamarina
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Germinal
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Germinal
0:2
Jun 14, 2025 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Germinal
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Germinal 50 / 100
Santamarina 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Germinal Santamarina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Germinal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santamarina has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Germinal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Away concern: Santamarina has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Germinal VS Santamarina
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Germinal
(Home) 20 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 0 Germinal
13 Sept
Germinal
1 : 0 Guillermo Brown
06 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 1 Germinal
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
23 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 San Martin Mendoza
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Germinal
1 : 0 Guillermo Brown
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
23 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 San Martin Mendoza
12 Aug
Germinal
5 : 1 Santamarina
02 Aug
Germinal
2 : 1 Juventud U.U.
Page 1 of 3
Santamarina
(Away) 20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0 Santamarina
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3 Costa Brava
06 Sept
Juventud U.U.
1 : 0 Santamarina
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1 Circulo Deportivo
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0 Santamarina
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0 Santamarina
06 Sept
Juventud U.U.
1 : 0 Santamarina
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0 Santamarina
12 Aug
Germinal
5 : 1 Santamarina
02 Aug
Sol de Mayo
1 : 0 Santamarina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
