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Gernika Club vs Real Union

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Carrillo H.
41' Event
Tellechea I.
54' Event
Soroeta J.

AI Match Summary

Real Union in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gernika Club
44%
Draws
20%
Real Union
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Gernika Club haven't matched Real Union's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 10%
Real Union Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gernika Club Real Union
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.13 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Real Union
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Gernika Club
1:1
Feb 2, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Gernika Club
1:1
Sep 16, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Real Union
1:1
Apr 22, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Gernika Club
5:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gernika Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torrontegui H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Real Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Soroeta J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tellechea I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gernika Club 34 / 100
Real Union 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gernika Club Real Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gernika Club scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Real Union let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gernika Club stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gernika Club VS Real Union
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Gernika Club

(Home)
03 May
Gernika Club
0 : 0
Alaves B
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
18 Apr
Gernika Club
1 : 1
Tudelano
11 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 2
Gernika Club
04 Apr
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 7

Real Union

(Away)
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Zaragoza B
3 : 1
Real Union
18 Apr
Real Union
3 : 3
Amorebieta
11 Apr
SD Ejea
3 : 2
Real Union
05 Apr
Real Union
3 : 0
Naxara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)