Sport Picks
Gernika Club vs Somorrostro
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Gernika Club and Somorrostro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gernika Club.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Somorrostro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Somorrostro haven't matched Gernika Club's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 68%
Somorrostro Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gernika Club | Somorrostro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Somorrostro
2:0
Nov 7, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Gernika Club
1:1
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Somorrostro
0:0
Oct 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Gernika Club
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gernika Club 41 / 100
Somorrostro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gernika Club Somorrostro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gernika Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gernika Club's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Somorrostro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Gernika Club has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gernika Club VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gernika Club
(Home) 20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0 Llanera
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4 Gernika Club
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2 Bergantinos
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1 Basconia
26 Aug
Gernika Club
1 : 1 Amorebieta
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0 Llanera
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2 Bergantinos
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1 Basconia
26 Aug
Gernika Club
1 : 1 Amorebieta
03 May
Gernika Club
0 : 0 Alaves B
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Somorrostro
(Away) 29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3 Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3 Somorrostro
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1 CD Ariznabarra
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1 Somorrostro
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0 Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3 Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3 Somorrostro
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1 Somorrostro
15 May
SCD Durango
0 : 0 Somorrostro
02 May
CD Ariznabarra
4 : 2 Somorrostro
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gernika Club | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad C | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 48:27 | 40 |
| 3 | Sestao | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 40:13 | 39 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 30:24 | 36 |
| 5 | Santutxu FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20:23 | 29 |
| 6 | Beasain | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 7 | Tolosa | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | 24 |
| 8 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23:31 | 20 |
| 9 | Balmaseda | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 22:27 | 18 |
| 10 | Somorrostro | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20:31 | 17 |
| 11 | Urgatzi | 20 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11:62 | 10 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 20:4 | 35 |
| 2 | Urduliz FT | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 28:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:14 | 34 |
| 4 | Basconia | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 24:15 | 30 |
| 5 | Anaitasuna FT | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20:19 | 30 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Santurtzi | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18:27 | 23 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 10 | CD Ariznabarra | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17:31 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
