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Gernika Club vs Tudelano

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Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gernika Club play Tudelano in the Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gernika Club averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Tudelano averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Gernika Club won 1, Tudelano won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Gernika Club and 1.88 for Tudelano. This points to a Tudelano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Gernika Club
32%
Draws
36%
Tudelano
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Tudelano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gernika Club picked up more points recently compared to Tudelano.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 10%
Tudelano Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gernika Club Tudelano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Tudelano
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Gernika Club
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Gernika Club
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Tudelano
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Tudelano
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gernika Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Badiola A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tudelano Compare

Top Goalscorer Alayeto I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gernika Club 31 / 100
Tudelano 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gernika Club Tudelano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tudelano or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gernika Club attacking → ← attacking Tudelano

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gernika Club scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Tudelano let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Gernika Club went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tudelano lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 44
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025