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Geumsan Insam vs Sejong SA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Geumsan Insam host Sejong SA in the K4 League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sejong SA have shipped 2.04 goals a game lately, while Geumsan Insam have conceded 1.22 and scored 1.52. Head-to-head, Geumsan Insam have won 0 to Sejong SA's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.13 - 1.44) back Sejong SA to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Geumsan Insam
20%
Draws
34%
Sejong SA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Geumsan Insam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Geumsan Insam haven't matched Sejong SA's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Geumsan Insam's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular K4 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 16%
Sejong SA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geumsan Insam Sejong SA
Matches Played 23 26
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 2
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 K4 League
Sejong SA vs Geumsan Insam
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geumsan Insam 84 / 100
Sejong SA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geumsan Insam Sejong SA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Geumsan Insam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sejong SA has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Geumsan Insam scored in 74% of their last 23 games.

Geumsan Insam has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Geumsan Insam VS Sejong SA
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Geumsan Insam

(Home)
10 Oct
Geumsan Insam
2 : 0
Namyangju
13 Sept
Gijang United
3 : 1
Geumsan Insam
05 Sept
Geumsan Insam
0 : 0
Pyeongtaek Citizen
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
23 Aug
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 3
Geumsan Insam
Page 1 of 5

Sejong SA

(Away)
10 Oct
Sejong SA
5 : 2
Gijang United
04 Oct
Pyeongtaek Citizen
7 : 1
Sejong SA
12 Sept
Sejong SA
0 : 4
Jinju Citizen
06 Sept
Sejong SA
2 : 1
Seosan Pioneer
30 Aug
Sejong SA
0 : 5
Seoul Jungnang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 22 16 3 3 51:18 51
2 Jincheon 22 12 6 4 43:21 42
3 Namyangju 23 11 6 6 32:29 39
4 Seoul Jungnang 22 11 4 7 40:27 37
5 Geumsan Insam 22 9 8 5 35:25 35
6 Geoje 21 10 4 7 37:26 34
7 Jecheon Citizen 22 8 7 7 29:32 31
8 Pyeongchang United 22 9 3 10 30:33 30
9 Sejong SA 22 9 2 11 35:49 29
10 Gijang United 22 8 2 12 31:43 26
11 Haman 22 6 2 14 23:38 20
12 Pyeongtaek Citizen 22 3 5 14 27:48 14
13 Seosan Pioneer 22 4 2 16 24:48 14
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