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Gevora vs AD Llerenense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gevora host AD Llerenense in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Gevora at 1 goals for, 1.62 against; AD Llerenense at 1.09 for, 1.22 against. Head-to-head, Gevora have won 0 to AD Llerenense's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.50) back AD Llerenense to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gevora
30%
Draws
43%
AD Llerenense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Llerenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Llerenense come out ahead of Gevora on wins alone.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gevora Clean Sheet 16%
AD Llerenense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gevora AD Llerenense
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs AD Llerenense
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs Gevora
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gevora 31 / 100
AD Llerenense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gevora AD Llerenense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Llerenense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gevora found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: AD Llerenense conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Gevora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gevora VS AD Llerenense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gevora

(Home)
04 Oct
Moralo
1 : 1
Gevora
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Quintana
0 : 0
Gevora
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

AD Llerenense

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Zafra
0 : 0
AD Llerenense
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Jaraiz
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1
AD Llerenense
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)