Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ghana U20 vs Senegal U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 Suez Stadium, Suez
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Marfo D.
15' Event
Mensah E.
Assist: Afriyie J.
36'
Dorival P.

AI Match Summary

Ghana U20 in this Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ghana U20
35%
Draws
32%
Senegal U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Senegal U20 have won more games recently than Ghana U20.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Senegal U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghana U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ghana U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Senegal U20 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghana U20 Senegal U20
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 13 21
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.19 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.74 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Ghana U20 vs Senegal U20
1:0
Mar 19, 2024 African Games
Ghana U20 vs Senegal U20
1:0
Aug 21, 2019 African Games
Ghana U20 vs Senegal U20
0:1
Feb 6, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Ghana U20 vs Senegal U20
0:2
Jul 22, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Ghana U20 vs Senegal U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghana U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mensah E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.37

Senegal U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghana U20 32 / 100
Senegal U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghana U20 Senegal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghana U20 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Senegal U20 let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

Solid form: Ghana U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ghana U20 VS Senegal U20
0.88 Goals Scored 0.6
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.6
50% Over 1.5 40%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghana U20

(Home)
02 Aug
Ghana U20
0 : 0
Togo U20
30 Jul
Ghana U20
1 : 1
Burkina Faso U20
27 Jul
Nigeria U20
4 : 2
Ghana U20
23 Jul
Ghana U20
2 : 0
Niger U20
20 Jul
Ghana U20
1 : 2
Ivory Coast U20
Page 1 of 7

Senegal U20

(Away)
12 May
Nigeria U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
08 May
Senegal U20
2 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
05 May
Ghana U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
02 May
Senegal U20
1 : 1
Central Africa U20
23 Mar
Senegal U20
0 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa U20 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
2 Sierra Leone U20 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
3 Egypt U20 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
4 Zambia U20 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
5 Tanzania U20 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U20 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Nigeria U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Tunisia U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Kenya U20 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana U20 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Senegal U20 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 D.R. Congo U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Central Africa U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams