Sport Picks

Ghana vs Somalia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations

Somalia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations. Ghana are expected to control this from the start. Somalia have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while Ghana have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Ghana slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 19, 2003, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.68 xG vs 1.17) point toward Ghana. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Ghana

20%

Draws

64%

Somalia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Somalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Ghana carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Ghana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ghana, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%

Ghana Clean Sheet 20%

Somalia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ghana	Somalia
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	8	3
Draws	7	4
Losses	14	23
Goals Scored	1.17	0.43
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	0.68	1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2003 World Championship

Ghana vs Somalia

2:0

Nov 16, 2003 World Championship

Somalia vs Ghana

0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghana 32 / 100

Somalia 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ghana Somalia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somalia Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somalia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ghana scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Somalia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ghana VS Somalia

0.5 Goals Scored 0.71

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.86

63% Over 1.5 43%

25% Over 2.5 29%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghana

(Home)

29 Sept

Ghana

2 : 4

Gambia

24 Sept

Ivory Coast

2 : 0

Ghana

04 Jul

Colombia

1 : 0

Ghana

27 Jun

Croatia

2 : 1

Ghana

23 Jun

England

0 : 0

Ghana

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Somalia

(Away)

29 Sept

Somalia

0 : 2

Ivory Coast

25 Sept

Gambia

2 : 1

Somalia

31 Mar

Mauritius

0 : 1

Somalia

27 Mar

Somalia

0 : 0

Mauritius

26 Nov

Oman

1 : 0

Somalia

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