Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E 2018/2019

Sangimignano Sport

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ghiviborgo play Sangimignano Sport in the Serie D - Group E 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ghiviborgo averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Sangimignano Sport averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Ghiviborgo won 1, Sangimignano Sport won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 17, 2019 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Ghiviborgo and 1.31 for Sangimignano Sport. This points to a Ghiviborgo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Ghiviborgo

26%

Draws

33%

Sangimignano Sport

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Ghiviborgo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Ghiviborgo picked up more points recently compared to Sangimignano Sport.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 18%

Sangimignano Sport Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ghiviborgo	Sangimignano Sport
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	9	7
Draws	9	7
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	1.13	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Serie D - Group E

Ghiviborgo vs Sangimignano Sport

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Oct 28, 2018 Serie D - Group E

Sangimignano Sport vs Ghiviborgo

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghiviborgo 41 / 100

Sangimignano Sport 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ghiviborgo Sangimignano Sport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ghiviborgo or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ghiviborgo attacking → ← attacking Sangimignano Sport

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghiviborgo scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Sangimignano Sport let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Ghiviborgo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sangimignano Sport lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 28

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pianese	38	21	11	6	58:21	74
2	FC Ponsacco	38	20	13	5	61:27	73
3	Seravezza Pozzi	38	19	8	11	62:42	65
4	Follonica Gavorrano	38	18	10	10	49:34	64
5	Montevarchi	38	18	10	10	49:38	64
6	San Donato Tavarnelle	38	16	15	7	51:32	63
7	Ghiviborgo	38	16	12	10	50:37	60
8	Tuttocuoio	38	15	10	13	43:43	55
9	Prato	38	15	10	13	50:48	54
10	Cannara	38	12	15	11	33:38	51
11	Sporting Trestina	38	13	11	14	39:40	50
12	Aglianese Calcio	38	10	16	12	43:52	46
13	Real Forte Querceta	38	12	10	16	42:54	46
14	Sangiovannese	38	11	12	15	36:41	45
15	Bastia Calcio	38	12	9	17	45:56	45
16	Scandicci	38	11	10	17	44:53	43
17	Viareggio	38	8	13	17	42:50	37
18	UC Sinalunghese	38	8	13	17	30:54	37
19	Sangimignano Sport	38	8	12	18	22:51	36
20	Massese	38	2	10	26	26:64	16