Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ghiviborgo vs Scandicci Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Fiaschi M.
90' Event
Asmussen A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Ghiviborgo
20%
Draws
73%
Scandicci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Scandicci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Scandicci lately — more wins on the board than Ghiviborgo.
  • Win probability leans Scandicci's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 15%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghiviborgo Scandicci
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 9 12
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Scandicci
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Ghiviborgo
2:0
Apr 14, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Ghiviborgo
1:1
Dec 8, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Scandicci
0:0
Jan 7, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Ghiviborgo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ghiviborgo Compare

Top Goalscorer Asmussen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Scandicci Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiaschi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghiviborgo 10 / 100
Scandicci 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghiviborgo Scandicci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scandicci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scandicci's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ghiviborgo found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Ghiviborgo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ghiviborgo VS Scandicci
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghiviborgo

(Home)
04 Oct
Ghiviborgo
0 : 1
Tau
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1
Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3
Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 6

Scandicci

(Away)
04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2
Scandicci
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0
Ternana
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Scandicci
3 : 0
Rondinella
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1
Scandicci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)