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Ghiviborgo vs Siena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ghiviborgo host Siena in the Serie D - Group E. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ghiviborgo at 0.93 goals for, 1.66 against; Siena at 2.1 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Ghiviborgo have won 0 to Siena's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 2.06) point toward Siena. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ghiviborgo
20%
Draws
65%
Siena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Siena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Siena taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 10%
Siena Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghiviborgo Siena
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.93 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Ghiviborgo
4:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Siena
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Ghiviborgo
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Siena
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghiviborgo 10 / 100
Siena 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghiviborgo Siena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ghiviborgo found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Ghiviborgo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ghiviborgo VS Siena
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghiviborgo

(Home)
18 Oct
Ghiviborgo
0 : 3
Montevarchi
11 Oct
Scandicci
3 : 3
Ghiviborgo
04 Oct
Ghiviborgo
0 : 1
Tau
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1
Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
Page 1 of 6

Siena

(Away)
18 Oct
Ternana
2 : 1
Siena
11 Oct
SCD Progresso
0 : 1
Siena
07 Oct
Flaminia
0 : 3
Siena
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2
Siena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prato 8 5 3 0 12:5 18
2 Follonica Gavorrano 8 4 4 0 11:5 16
3 Seravezza Pozzi 8 4 2 2 15:5 14
4 Lucchese 8 4 2 2 18:15 14
5 Siena 8 4 1 3 15:10 13
6 Tau 8 4 1 3 11:14 13
7 Ternana 8 3 3 2 13:8 12
8 Scandicci 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
9 Terranuova Traiana 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
10 Flaminia 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
12 Montevarchi 8 3 1 4 12:12 10
13 Mezzolara 8 1 6 1 7:9 9
14 Rondinella 8 2 3 3 6:10 9
15 Sasso Marconi 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
16 Grassina 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 SCD Progresso 8 1 0 7 4:17 3
18 Ghiviborgo 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)