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Ghriss vs Tadamoun Souf

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ghriss play Tadamoun Souf in the Algeria Cup 2015/2016. Ghriss are favorites here. Recently, Ghriss averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1 conceded. Tadamoun Souf averaged 0.54 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. In past meetings, Ghriss won 1, Tadamoun Souf won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 19, 2015 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Ghriss and 0.75 for Tadamoun Souf. This points to a Ghriss double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Ghriss
15%
Draws
24%
Tadamoun Souf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ghriss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Ghriss picked up more points recently compared to Tadamoun Souf.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%
Ghriss Clean Sheet 27%
Tadamoun Souf Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ghriss Tadamoun Souf
Matches Played 11 13
Wins 6 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.09 0.54
Goals Conceded 1 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 19, 2015 Algeria Cup
Ghriss vs Tadamoun Souf
3:1
Mar 4, 2011 Algeria Cup
Ghriss vs Tadamoun Souf
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ghriss 60 / 100
Tadamoun Souf 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ghriss Tadamoun Souf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ghriss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ghriss & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ghriss attacking → ← attacking Tadamoun Souf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghriss scored in 64% of their last 11 games.

Tadamoun Souf let in goals in 77% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ghriss went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tadamoun Souf lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 9
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25