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Giana Erminio vs AlbinoLeffe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola, Gorgonzola
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pinto D.
Assist: Comelli S.
38'
Comelli S.
45' Event
Mandelli A.
Assist: De Paoli A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Giana Erminio and AlbinoLeffe finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AlbinoLeffe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Giana Erminio
35%
Draws
43%
AlbinoLeffe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AlbinoLeffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AlbinoLeffe come out ahead of Giana Erminio on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 14%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giana Erminio AlbinoLeffe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs AlbinoLeffe
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Giana Erminio
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs AlbinoLeffe
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Giana Erminio
0:3
Sep 20, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs AlbinoLeffe
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giana Erminio Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandelli A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giana Erminio 35 / 100
AlbinoLeffe 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giana Erminio AlbinoLeffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AlbinoLeffe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giana Erminio found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: AlbinoLeffe conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Giana Erminio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Giana Erminio VS AlbinoLeffe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Giana Erminio

(Home)
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

AlbinoLeffe

(Away)
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)