Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Giana Erminio vs FeralpiSalo

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola, Gorgonzola
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Stuckler D.
12'
Sub
Lamesta A. In: Ballabio M.
Out: Lamesta A.
42'
Cavuoti N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 game between Giana Erminio and FeralpiSalo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Giana Erminio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Giana Erminio
33%
Draws
40%
FeralpiSalo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FeralpiSalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FeralpiSalo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on FeralpiSalo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 23%
FeralpiSalo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giana Erminio FeralpiSalo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs FeralpiSalo
3:1
Sep 25, 2024 Serie C - Group A
FeralpiSalo vs Giana Erminio
2:0
Mar 17, 2022 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs FeralpiSalo
2:1
Nov 7, 2021 Serie C - Group A
FeralpiSalo vs Giana Erminio
1:0
Mar 31, 2019 Serie C - Group B
FeralpiSalo vs Giana Erminio
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giana Erminio Compare

Top Goalscorer Stuckler D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Maria V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FeralpiSalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Brambilla A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giana Erminio 29 / 100
FeralpiSalo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giana Erminio FeralpiSalo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Giana Erminio scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

FeralpiSalo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Giana Erminio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Giana Erminio VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Giana Erminio

(Home)
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0
Giana Erminio
06 May
Lecco
2 : 1
Giana Erminio
03 May
Trento
1 : 2
Giana Erminio
25 Apr
Cittadella
0 : 2
Giana Erminio
19 Apr
Giana Erminio
2 : 0
Inter U23
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FeralpiSalo

(Away)
14 May
FeralpiSalo
2 : 1
Crotone
11 May
Crotone
3 : 1
FeralpiSalo
25 Apr
Arzignano
1 : 0
FeralpiSalo
18 Apr
FeralpiSalo
2 : 0
Pro Vercelli
11 Apr
Alcione Milano
0 : 3
FeralpiSalo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Padova38268465:2486
2Vicenza38258559:2483
3FeralpiSalo38219853:3072
4AlbinoLeffe3816121046:3860
5Renate381861435:3660
6Giana Erminio381691344:3957
7Trento381415947:4257
8Atalanta U23381691365:5357
9Virtus Verona3815111252:4356
10Arzignano381581545:4653
11Novara3814121242:3952
12Alcione Milano381381733:3747
13Lecco3810131536:4743
14Pergolettese381191836:4942
15Lumezzane389151440:5542
16Triestina381281840:4539
17Pro Vercelli389101930:5137
18Pro Patria386161632:4434
19Caldiero Terme38892139:6433
20Clodiense38492534:6721
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)