Sport Picks
Giana Erminio vs Lecco
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola, Gorgonzola 
Match Events
31'
31'
Romani L.
42'
42'
Pellegrino G.
46'
46'
Sub
Pellegrino G. In: Bonaiti S.
Out: Pellegrino G.
AI Match Summary
Lecco in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lecco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Giana Erminio lately — more wins on the board than Lecco.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 16%
Lecco Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Giana Erminio | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Giana Erminio
2:1
Feb 11, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Lecco
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Giana Erminio
0:0
Mar 31, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Giana Erminio
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Lecco
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Giana Erminio Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Lecco Compare
Top Goalscorer Pellegrino G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Giana Erminio 36 / 100
Lecco 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Giana Erminio Lecco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Giana Erminio scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Lecco has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Giana Erminio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Giana Erminio VS Lecco
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Giana Erminio
(Home) 24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0 Giana Erminio
06 May
Lecco
2 : 1 Giana Erminio
03 May
Trento
1 : 2 Giana Erminio
25 Apr
Cittadella
0 : 2 Giana Erminio
19 Apr
Giana Erminio
2 : 0 Inter U23
Page 1 of 6
19 Apr
Giana Erminio
2 : 0 Inter U23
06 Apr
Giana Erminio
1 : 1 Dolomiti Bellunesi
21 Mar
Giana Erminio
2 : 0 Pergolettese
07 Mar
Giana Erminio
1 : 3 Vicenza
27 Feb
Giana Erminio
1 : 0 Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 3
Lecco
(Away) 20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0 Catania
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1 Pianese
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Lecco
06 May
Lecco
2 : 1 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 7
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Lecco
25 Apr
Pergolettese
3 : 0 Lecco
10 Apr
Alcione Milano
0 : 2 Lecco
29 Mar
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lecco
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
