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Giana Erminio vs Union Brescia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola, Gorgonzola
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Giana Erminio host Union Brescia in the Serie C - Group A. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Giana Erminio have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Union Brescia's 1.35 scored and 0.81 conceded. Head-to-head, Giana Erminio have won 0 to Union Brescia's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2026, ending 5:2. xG projections (0.88 - 2.00) back Union Brescia to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Giana Erminio
35%
Draws
42%
Union Brescia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Brescia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Union Brescia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Union Brescia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Union Brescia here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 10%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giana Erminio Union Brescia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 13
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Union Brescia vs Giana Erminio
5:2
Feb 2, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Union Brescia
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Giana Erminio
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giana Erminio 22 / 100
Union Brescia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giana Erminio Union Brescia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Giana Erminio remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Giana Erminio scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Union Brescia let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Giana Erminio VS Union Brescia
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Giana Erminio

(Home)
11 Oct
Renate
2 : 2
Giana Erminio
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
Page 1 of 6

Union Brescia

(Away)
09 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Pro Vercelli
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2
Union Brescia
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Trento 9 4 5 0 12:5 17
6 Treviso 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 9 2 6 1 13:14 12
10 Lumezzane 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Lecco 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
14 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
15 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
16 Juventus U23 9 1 4 4 8:15 7
17 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
18 Folgore Caratese 9 1 3 5 9:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 9 0 5 4 8:12 5
20 Renate 9 0 4 5 8:14 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)