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Friendly International 2025 Europa point stadium

Albania

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gibraltar play Albania in the Friendly International 2025. Albania are favorites here. Recently, Gibraltar averaged 0.61 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Albania averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Gibraltar won 0, Albania won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 4, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for Gibraltar and 1.69 for Albania. This points to a Albania double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Gibraltar

19%

Draws

61%

Albania

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Albania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Gibraltar picked up more points recently compared to Albania.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.51 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 58%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%

Gibraltar Clean Sheet 13%

Albania Clean Sheet 22%

First Half Goal 52%

Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gibraltar	Albania
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	4	11
Draws	5	6
Losses	19	13
Goals Scored	0.61	0.97
Goals Conceded	2.5	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 Friendly International

Gibraltar vs Albania

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gibraltar 21 / 100

Albania 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gibraltar Albania

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albania Win (2)

Secondary Pick Albania & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gibraltar attacking → ← attacking Albania

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gibraltar scored in 36% of their last 28 games.

Albania let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Gibraltar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Albania lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 39

0.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88