Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Algarve, Faro/Loulé

Gibraltar

0 - 7

Croatia

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Pasalic M.

Assist: Perisic I.

30'

Budimir A.

38'

Sucic L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Gibraltar and Croatia finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Gibraltar

15%

Draws

51%

Croatia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Croatia come out ahead of Gibraltar on wins alone.
Gibraltar are the model's pick here, at 80%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Croatia have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Gibraltar Clean Sheet 15%

Croatia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gibraltar	Croatia
Matches Played	26	28
Wins	4	15
Draws	5	5
Losses	17	8
Goals Scored	0.65	1.86
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 World Championship

Croatia vs Gibraltar

3:0

Jun 6, 2025 World Championship

Gibraltar vs Croatia

0:7

Jun 7, 2015 Friendly International

Croatia vs Gibraltar

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gibraltar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanovic F.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kramaric A.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gibraltar 75 / 100

Croatia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gibraltar Croatia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gibraltar Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Croatia conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Gibraltar found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (26 games).

Solid form: Gibraltar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gibraltar VS Croatia

1.13 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75

50% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gibraltar

(Home)

06 Jun

Gibraltar

4 : 1

Cayman Islands

03 Jun

Gibraltar

4 : 0

British Virgin Islands

31 Mar

Latvia

1 : 0

Gibraltar

26 Mar

Gibraltar

0 : 1

Latvia

17 Nov

Czech Republic

6 : 0

Gibraltar

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Croatia

(Away)

02 Jul

Portugal

2 : 1

Croatia

27 Jun

Croatia

2 : 1

Ghana

23 Jun

Panama

0 : 1

Croatia

17 Jun

England

4 : 2

Croatia

07 Jun

Croatia

2 : 1

Slovenia

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