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Gibraltar vs Sao Tome and Principe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Europa Point Stadium, Gibraltar
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Match Events

22'
Lima P.
45'
Pozo N.
46'
Sub
Scanlon J. In: Jessop L.
Out: Scanlon J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Gibraltar
35%
Draws
20%
Sao Tome and Principe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gibraltar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Gibraltar have won more games recently than Sao Tome and Principe.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Gibraltar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Gibraltar Clean Sheet 19%
Sao Tome and Principe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gibraltar Sao Tome and Principe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 2
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 0.71 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Friendly International
Gibraltar vs Sao Tome and Principe
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gibraltar 85 / 100
Sao Tome and Principe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gibraltar Sao Tome and Principe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gibraltar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Tome and Principe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Gibraltar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Sao Tome and Principe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gibraltar found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Gibraltar VS Sao Tome and Principe
0.13 Goals Scored 0.43
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.29
50% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Gibraltar

(Home)
05 Oct
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Gibraltar
01 Oct
Malta
1 : 1
Gibraltar
27 Sept
Gibraltar
0 : 0
Andorra
23 Sept
Gibraltar
0 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
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Sao Tome and Principe

(Away)
23 Sept
Gibraltar
0 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3
Ethiopia
13 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
1 : 0
Malawi
10 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 6
Tunisia
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